Finally a division with massive shifts!
Only one AFC North team is projected at the same position as last year, and that's just the Browns continuing to be at the bottom. In fact the Browns actually get worse next year (meaning that their seven wins from last year actually exceeded what we would expect from their playing statistics).
The Steelers are projected to win two fewer games, likely due to the "rapist penalty" in the model. (Just kidding. But still. Looking at you Roethlisberger). Cause here are statistiics
The Ravens move up to the top of the division (meaning their prior 10 wins was actually an under-performance against statistics) and the Bengals fall out of playoff contention.